CICC set GDP growth target, expected to reduce tax this year by 200 billion-dxperience

CICC: set the GDP growth target this year is expected to cut 200 billion hot column capital flows thousands of thousands of stocks the latest Rating Rating diagnosis simulated trading client sina finance App: Live on-line blogger to tutor Hong Kong level2 market mechanism cards at the Securities Times reporter Zhao Chun Yan yesterday, CICC released the report on the 2016 National NPC and CPPCC prospective. CICC expects a tax cut of about 200 billion yuan this year. CICC said, "13th Five-Year" plan clearly the future direction of economic restructuring, the government is expected to determine the 13th Five-Year "during the expected average growth target of around 6.5%, if less than this," double goal will be difficult to achieve". Some provinces GDP target growth interval it is reported that the National People’s Congress and CPPCC will respectively in March 5th and March 3rd opening, the meeting will mainly discuss the 2016 "government work report" and "national economic and social development plan", "13th Five-Year" will be released this year’s government work target, foreign policy, and for the next five years the direction of economic work. Gold company reported that the steady growth of the status of economic growth has a bottom line, it is expected that in 2016 the government’s gross domestic product (GDP) target will be reduced from 7% in 2015 to 6.5%~7%. CICC said that this year was the first time to set the GDP growth target as an interval, indicating that the government will not pursue growth at least on its will, but hopes to focus more on structural adjustment and deepening reform. "We note that Jiangsu, Shandong and other provinces have set the GDP target this year as growth, and supply side reform as the top priority of the government." Expect 200 billion tax cuts, CICC said, steady growth requires positive macro policy. Fiscal policy will play a more active role. The target of this year’s budget deficit rate will be raised from 2.3% last year to 3%, and the actual deficit rate will be further expanded this year. In addition, the quasi fiscal policy efforts will also increase, for example, to financial discount as leverage, through policy banks issued special bonds to support infrastructure investment efforts to increase, is expected to issue its scale will be two times more than 800 billion yuan last year. CICC also mentioned that the implementation of the tax cuts will mainly through the financial, real estate, construction and life service industry camp changed to increase, "expected tax reduction of about 200 billion yuan, small and micro enterprises tax burden is expected to be further reduced."." In addition, in order to reflect the intention of tax reduction, it is expected that the Ministry of finance will begin to study the reduction of value-added tax in manufacturing industry, reduce the burden of corporate social security payment, the comprehensive collection of personal income tax and other issues, the tax burden of the enterprise sector is relatively large. CICC expects monetary policy to remain stable, moderate and loose, to support economic growth. The target of government M2 and social financing will be set at about 13% this year, and the growth of M2 is slightly lower than the actual growth of 13.3% last year, and the growth target of social finance is faster than the actual growth rate of 12.4% last year. According to this calculation, on the theory of

中金公司:设定GDP增长目标 预计今年减税2000亿 热点栏目 资金流向 千股千评 个股诊断 最新评级 模拟交易 客户端 新浪财经App:直播上线 博主一对一指导 港股level2行情 翻看机构底牌   证券时报记者 赵春燕   昨日,中金公司发布针对2016年全国两会的前瞻报告。中金公司预计,今年有望减税2000亿元左右。   中金公司表示,“十三五”规划纲要明确未来经济转型的方向,预计“十三五”期间政府确定的预期平均增长目标为6.5%左右,“如果低于这个目标,翻番目标将难以实现”。   部分省份GDP目标   设定为增长区间   据悉,全国人代会和政协会将分别于3月5日和3月3日开幕,会议将主要审议《2016年政府工作报告》和《国民经济和社会发展“十三五”规划纲要》,政府将对外公布今年的工作目标、政策,以及未来五年的经济工作方向。   中金公司研报称,稳增长的地位上升,经济增长有底线,预计2016年政府的国内生产总值(GDP)目标将从2015年的7%下调至6.5%~7%。   中金公司表示,今年是第一次将GDP增长目标设定为一个区间,表明政府至少在意愿上,不会过分追求增长,而是希望把更多精力放在结构调整和深化改革。“我们注意到,江苏、山东等省份已经将今年GDP目标设定为增长区间,并将供给侧改革列为政府工作首位。”   预计减税2000亿   中金公司表示,稳增长需要积极的宏观政策。财政政策将发挥更加积极的作用,预计今年的预算赤字率目标将从去年的2.3%上调到3%,预计今年的实际赤字率将进一步扩大。此外,准财政的政策力度也将加大,比如,以财政贴息为杠杆,通过政策性银行发行专项债券支持基建投资的力度加大,预计其发行规模将是去年 8000亿元的两倍以上。   中金公司还提到,落实各项减税工作会主要通过金融、房地产、建筑以及生活服务业的营改增进行,“预计减税 2000亿元左右,小微企业的税负也有望得到进一步减轻。”另外,为了体现减税意图,预计今年财政部将开始研究降低制造业增值税、减轻企业社保缴纳负担、 个人所得税综合征缴等问题,企业部门的税负下调空间比较大。   中金公司预计,货币政策仍将保持稳中偏松的态势,支持经济增长。预计今年政 府M2和社会融资的目标均将设定在13%左右,M2增长略低于去年13.3%的实际增长,社融增长目标快于去年12.4%的实际增速。按此测算,今年全年 社会融资新增目标为18万亿元,去年实际为15.4万亿。   中金公司表示,基建投资的支持力度可能进一步加大。预计会出台保持消费平稳增长的政策,包括税收、金融支持、加大财政转移支付和社会福利支出、加大扶贫力度等。   另外,在供给侧改革方面,中金公司称,今年供给侧改革的任务将进一步细化,并在国务院层面出台相关执行文件,但具体成效需要看政府的执行力。 进入【新浪财经股吧】讨论相关的主题文章: