U.S. nonfarm payrolls are expected to increase in December probability of breaking 50% pr011.msi

The weaker than expected December increase probability of non-agricultural break 50% U.S. stock market center: exclusive national industry sector stocks, premarket after hours, ETF, real-time quotes Sina warrants stocks Beijing time 7 evening news in September U.S. payrolls than the market expected for three consecutive months of growth, which will undoubtedly increase the degree of interest in the Fed’s cautious the. Prior to the report, the federal funds rate futures prices show that the market is expected to raise interest rates in December, the probability of more than 60%, after the report dropped to a probability of less than 50%. U.S. Department of labor announced that in September non farm employment growth of 156 thousand, down from August’s 167 thousand (today’s revised value). This means that the employment increment for third consecutive months of decline. According to Reuters survey, economists on average expected employment in September will increase by 175 thousand. Federal Reserve Chairman Yellen has pointed out that the U.S. economy needs to create a little less than 100 thousand jobs a month, in order to keep pace with the growth of the U.S. population. So far this year, the monthly increase in nonfarm payrolls was about 180 thousand, Yellen said last month that this level is not sustainable, over time may cause overheating. In September the unemployment rate increased by 0.1 percentage points to $5%, while the market is expected to remain flat at $4.9%, but this is more optimistic about the prospects for employment with more Americans to start looking for a job. September employment report is the Federal Reserve last November 1-2 policy meeting before the last employment report. Given that the meeting is very close to the November 8th presidential election, investors think the Fed is unlikely to raise interest rates. Yellen pointed out last month that the Fed may raise interest rates this year. Prior to the trend of the federal funds rate futures show that the fed in December last year, the last meeting of the possibility of raising interest rates slightly higher than 60%, is currently below the level of 50%. Historical statistics show that the Fed almost no interest in the market price reflects the probability of interest rate increase of less than 50% of the case plus interest. Average hourly pay in the private sector increased by 2.6% year on year in September, in line with economists’ expectations. Over the past year, the year-on-year rate of increase in average hourly wages has been on the rise, but still slower than the pre recession level of 2007-2009. At the meeting last month, the Fed has three policy makers to support interest rates, while the Fed’s final decision to maintain the overall interest rate unchanged. Today’s employment report will undoubtedly enhance the dovish tone of interest rates should be extremely slow. Republican presidential candidate Trump accused the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates low is playing politics. Yellen and other federal reserve policy makers strongly denied. Trump will also reverse the US manufacturing unemployment as the main campaign promise. Today’s data show that in September manufacturing employment fell by 13 thousand in the past 5 months, the third decline. Overall, while employment growth slowed, but the U.S. job market will continue to strengthen, which may be beneficial to the Democratic presidential candidate Hilary. She has said that the policy pursued by the incumbent Democratic Party President Obama does help the economy. The Federal Reserve at the end of last year for the first time in 10 years to raise interest rates by 3相关的主题文章: